03 · COURSE OF ACTION COMPARATOR
Compare and select recommended COA
4 candidate courses of action generated from current situation. Final approval rests with the commander.
> SENTINEL-COA-3B4 CANDIDATES EVALUATED· 1 RECOMMENDED· 1 VIABLE· 1 STANDBY· 1 DEGRADEDSEED 0x00000000 · BASELINE
BASELINE SCENARIO · NO SIMULATION VARIABLES ACTIVE
OPEN SIMULATION →⚠ DEGRADED
COA-1
Monitor & Verify
CONF
0.78
Increase sensor cadence; task additional satellite pass; request AIS clarification.
- TIME
- 0–15 min
- RESOURCES
- Existing assets
- RISK ↓
- 22%
- DOWNSIDE
- Anomaly may escalate before verification completes.
COA-2
Dispatch Patrol Team
CONF
0.84
Deploy Bravo-2 to intercept and visually verify unknown vessel within perimeter.
- TIME
- 24–35 min
- RESOURCES
- Patrol Bravo-2 (1 vessel, 6 crew)
- RISK ↓
- 58%
- DOWNSIDE
- Commits primary patrol; secondary sectors uncovered.
COA-3
Escalate to Joint Command
CONF
0.69
Notify Joint Maritime HQ; request air asset & coast guard cooperation.
- TIME
- 10 min handoff
- RESOURCES
- Joint Command channel
- RISK ↓
- 71%
- DOWNSIDE
- Diplomatic & resource cost; may be disproportionate at current evidence level.
★ RECOMMENDED
COA-4
Hybrid Surveillance + Standby
CONF
0.79
Prioritise satellite tasking, hold BRAVO-2 at 12 NM standby, auto-escalate on perimeter breach.
- TIME
- 15–28 min
- RESOURCES
- Sat pass + Bravo-2 (standby)
- RISK ↓
- 64%
- DOWNSIDE
- Latency in intercept if vessel accelerates inside perimeter.
M-01
COMPARATIVE MATRIX
| METRIC | COA-1 · MONITOR & VERIFY | COA-2 · DISPATCH PATROL TEAM | COA-3 · ESCALATE TO JOINT COMMAND | COA-4 · HYBRID SURVEILLANCE + STANDBY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPECTED TIME | 0–15 min | 24–35 min | 10 min handoff | 15–28 min |
| RESOURCES | Existing assets | Patrol Bravo-2 (1 vessel, 6 crew) | Joint Command channel | Sat pass + Bravo-2 (standby) |
| RISK REDUCTION | 22% | 58% | 71% | 64% |
| CONFIDENCE | 0.78 | 0.84 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| OPERATIONAL DOWNSIDE | Anomaly may escalate before verification completes. | Commits primary patrol; secondary sectors uncovered. | Diplomatic & resource cost; may be disproportionate at current evidence level. | Latency in intercept if vessel accelerates inside perimeter. |
| STATUS | ⚠ DEGRADED | VIABLE | STANDBY | ★ RECOMMENDED |
Selecting any COA generates a commander brief and writes a signed entry to the audit trail. No external action is taken without two-person confirmation.